14 พฤศจิกายน 2549
Opinion of the Independent Financial Advisor-Part 5
Part 5
Opinion of the Independent Financial Advisor to the Voting of Shareholders
It is the view of the Independent Financial Advisor that the transaction
of acquiring a 50 % stake in BLCP by EGCOMP, taking into account
the rationale behind the transaction of conforming to the company's policy
to expand its business and market share in the domestic
power generation business and increasing its experience and expertise
in managing coal-fired power plants, is reasonable and provides benefits
to EGCOMP and its shareholders.
This is because investing in BLCP allows EGCOMP to invest directly in the
BLCP Power Plant Project that is a coal-fired power plant project with total
contracted generation capacity of 1,346.50 MW and many strengths
as discussed earlier.
Construction of the Project is almost complete and the
Project is expected to be in operation in accordance with the SCOD
as specified in the PPA (Unit 1 of the Project
with total contracted generation capacity of 673.25 MW
already begins transmitting
electricity to EGAT's transmission grid. Unit 2 with total
contracted generation capacity
of 673.25 MW as well is still under the construction phase
but expected to be in operation in February 2007).
Thus, pre-operating risk associated with
the Project is quite low, and EGCOMP could
immediately realize revenue from investment in BLCP.
Although pursuing the transaction of acquiring investment in
BLCP will provide benefit toEGCOMP and its shareholders,
doing so may incur financial risk to the company due to
increase in debt burden incurred to finance the
transaction of acquiring BLCP shares.
In evaluating the fair value of BLCP shares,
the total amount of Baht 6.645 billion to be paid to
the CLP Group for 50 % equity stake in BLCP,
together with additional capital infusion which
EGCOMP must commit to make in 2007
of approximately 93.4 million USD (roughly Baht 3.7 billion),
is fair and appropriate.
This is because the fundamental value of a 50 %
ownership interest in BLCP
(excluding the direct equity injection amounts
that must be made to BLCP in 2007 of
approximately Baht 3.7 billion)
falls within the range between Baht 6.301
and 8.618 billion.
This fundamental value is derived using the
Discounted Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) Method,
the method deemed to be the most appropriate
for this type of asset.
In sum, it is the view of the Independent Financial Advisor
that the transaction of acquiring BLCP shares by EGCOMP
is reasonable and provides benefits to EGCOMP
and its shareholders, and the acquisition price is appropriate.
Thus, shareholders should vote for the transaction
of acquiring BLCP shares.
The Independent Financial Advisor hereby certifies
that in providing the above opinion, careful
consideration was taken in accordance with professional
standards for the interest of EGCOMP's shareholders.
Yours Sincerely,
Mr. Montree Sornpaisarn, CFA
Chief Executive Officer